General Election Predictor 2024. Prediction based on opinion polls from 02 oct 2024 to 24 oct 2024, sampling 10,879 people. Light (60%+), medium (75%+), dark (95%+).

The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Our election model estimates the outcome of the race in real time based on polling data, the votes reported so far and what we expect from remaining votes.